Table 4.

Performance and internal validation of the HIGH-2-LOW RAM

Risk assessment category*Risk scoreOR for VTE (95% CI)VTE incidence 30 to 100 d, %C-statistic (95% CI)
Primary analysis
Overall VTE as outcome at day 100 
Low (n = 921) 1.54 0.69 (0.62-0.76) 
Intermediate (n = 507) 2.71 (1.38-5.35) 3.58 
High (n = 275) 2+ 5.87 (2.98-11.57) 10.25 
Sensitivity analysis 1
PE or LE-DVT (not CR-DVT) as outcome at day 100 
Low (n = 921) 0.66 0.71 (0.60-0.81) 
Intermediate (n = 507) 3.01 (1.06-8.50) 1.51 
High (n = 275) 2+ 7.43 (2.72-20.31) 5.56 
Sensitivity analysis 2
Overall VTE at day 100 in patients with platelet recovery >50 × 109/L at day 30 
Low (n = 754) 1.21 0.73 (0.65-0.80) 
Intermediate (n = 363) 3.32 (1.42-7.75) 3.94 
High (n = 197) 2+ 9.35 (4.19-20.89) 11.05 
Risk assessment category*Risk scoreOR for VTE (95% CI)VTE incidence 30 to 100 d, %C-statistic (95% CI)
Primary analysis
Overall VTE as outcome at day 100 
Low (n = 921) 1.54 0.69 (0.62-0.76) 
Intermediate (n = 507) 2.71 (1.38-5.35) 3.58 
High (n = 275) 2+ 5.87 (2.98-11.57) 10.25 
Sensitivity analysis 1
PE or LE-DVT (not CR-DVT) as outcome at day 100 
Low (n = 921) 0.66 0.71 (0.60-0.81) 
Intermediate (n = 507) 3.01 (1.06-8.50) 1.51 
High (n = 275) 2+ 7.43 (2.72-20.31) 5.56 
Sensitivity analysis 2
Overall VTE at day 100 in patients with platelet recovery >50 × 109/L at day 30 
Low (n = 754) 1.21 0.73 (0.65-0.80) 
Intermediate (n = 363) 3.32 (1.42-7.75) 3.94 
High (n = 197) 2+ 9.35 (4.19-20.89) 11.05 
*

Score category determined by the sum of the weights of the proposed covariates of interest, with low risk = 0, intermediate risk = 1, and high risk ≥2.

The incidence reported here is an underestimate of the overall incidence of VTE posttransplant, as it represents incident VTE events that occur from day 30 to day 100 (70-d span).

The c-statistic is reported after optimism adjustment, and the bias-corrected CI was derived from bootstrapping the resample 1000 times. The final model calibration and goodness-of-fit are shown in the supplemental figures.

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