Table 1.

Model clinical parameters

Result or transitionEstimateRangeStudy or data source
OS for azacitidine-venetoclax Weibull: λ = 0.0843388, κ = 0.7800001 — 10  
EFS for azacitidine-venetoclax Weibull: λ = 0.079045, κ = 0.9180112 — 10  
Hazard ratio for OS (azacitidine as reference) 0.66 0.52-0.85 10  
Hazard ratio for EFS (azacitidine as reference) 0.63 0.49-0.82 10  
Probability of treatment discontinuation because of AE, %    
 Azacitidine-venetoclax 24 12-36 10  
 Azacitidine 20 10-30 10  
Discontinuation events because of AE occurring within first 2 mo of treatment, % 50 25-75 Expert opinion 
Patients receiving growth factor, %    
 Azacitidine-venetoclax 32 16-48 10  
 Azacitidine 0-16 Expert opinion 
No. of doses of growth factor 0-10 Expert opinion 
Patients experiencing dose interruption after first cycle of treatment, %    
 Azacitidine-venetoclax 72 36-100 10  
 Azacitidine 57 29-86 10  
Median duration of dose interruption, wk 0-4 22  
Patients hospitalized during venetoclax dose ramp-up, % 20 0-100 Expert opinion 
Patients achieving TI, %    
 Azacitidine-venetoclax 64 32-96 10  
 Azacitidine 43 21-64 10  
Discount rate, % 1.5-6.0 19  
Result or transitionEstimateRangeStudy or data source
OS for azacitidine-venetoclax Weibull: λ = 0.0843388, κ = 0.7800001 — 10  
EFS for azacitidine-venetoclax Weibull: λ = 0.079045, κ = 0.9180112 — 10  
Hazard ratio for OS (azacitidine as reference) 0.66 0.52-0.85 10  
Hazard ratio for EFS (azacitidine as reference) 0.63 0.49-0.82 10  
Probability of treatment discontinuation because of AE, %    
 Azacitidine-venetoclax 24 12-36 10  
 Azacitidine 20 10-30 10  
Discontinuation events because of AE occurring within first 2 mo of treatment, % 50 25-75 Expert opinion 
Patients receiving growth factor, %    
 Azacitidine-venetoclax 32 16-48 10  
 Azacitidine 0-16 Expert opinion 
No. of doses of growth factor 0-10 Expert opinion 
Patients experiencing dose interruption after first cycle of treatment, %    
 Azacitidine-venetoclax 72 36-100 10  
 Azacitidine 57 29-86 10  
Median duration of dose interruption, wk 0-4 22  
Patients hospitalized during venetoclax dose ramp-up, % 20 0-100 Expert opinion 
Patients achieving TI, %    
 Azacitidine-venetoclax 64 32-96 10  
 Azacitidine 43 21-64 10  
Discount rate, % 1.5-6.0 19  

AE, adverse event.

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