Table 4.

Repartition and outcome per ALFA decision tool tier in the ALFA1200 training cohort and validation cohorts

Training cohortValidation cohorts
ALFA1200 (n = 471)AMLSG (n = 223)HDF (n = 141)SAL (n = 466)
n (%)2-y OS (95% CI)Pn (%)2-y OS (95% CI)Pn (%)2-y OS (95% CI )Pn (%)2-y OS (95% CI)P
Go-go* 184 (39.1) 66.1% (59.5-73.3) <10−5 84 (37.7) 44.8 (35.3-56.9) .0006 44 (31.2) 43.4 (30.7-61.4) .06 171 (36.7) 35.5 (28.9-43.5) .02 
Slow-go 251 (53.3) 39.1% (33.5-45.7) Ref. 113 (50.7) 21.9 (15.4-31.2) Ref. 78 (55.3) 29.9 (21.2-42.2) Ref. 243 (52.1) 28.2 (20.1-31.2) Ref. 
No-go 36 (7.6) 2.8% (0.4-19.2) <10−5 26 (11.6) 3.8 (0.5-26.2) 3 × 10−5 19 (13.5) 10.5 (2.8-39.1) .01 52 (11.2) 2.0 (0.2-13.9) <10−5 
Overall log-rank test   <10−5   <10−5   .003   <10−5 
Training cohortValidation cohorts
ALFA1200 (n = 471)AMLSG (n = 223)HDF (n = 141)SAL (n = 466)
n (%)2-y OS (95% CI)Pn (%)2-y OS (95% CI)Pn (%)2-y OS (95% CI )Pn (%)2-y OS (95% CI)P
Go-go* 184 (39.1) 66.1% (59.5-73.3) <10−5 84 (37.7) 44.8 (35.3-56.9) .0006 44 (31.2) 43.4 (30.7-61.4) .06 171 (36.7) 35.5 (28.9-43.5) .02 
Slow-go 251 (53.3) 39.1% (33.5-45.7) Ref. 113 (50.7) 21.9 (15.4-31.2) Ref. 78 (55.3) 29.9 (21.2-42.2) Ref. 243 (52.1) 28.2 (20.1-31.2) Ref. 
No-go 36 (7.6) 2.8% (0.4-19.2) <10−5 26 (11.6) 3.8 (0.5-26.2) 3 × 10−5 19 (13.5) 10.5 (2.8-39.1) .01 52 (11.2) 2.0 (0.2-13.9) <10−5 
Overall log-rank test   <10−5   <10−5   .003   <10−5 

P values by overall log-rank test and from pairwise log-rank tests considering the slow-go group as reference (Ref.)

*

Go-go tier: non–poor cytogenetics, NPM1 mutated and at most 1 mutation among FLT3-ITD low, DNMT3A, ASXL1, or NRAS OR non–poor cytogenetics and NPM1, FLT3-ITD, DNMT3A, ASXL1, and NRAS all wild-type; no-go tier: poor-risk cytogenetic with KRAS and/or TP53 mutation; slow-go: all others.

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