Table 3.

Univariate regression models of entire study cohort

RelapseRFSOSNRM
HR (95% CI)PHR (95% CI)PHR (95% CI)PHR (95% CI)P
Pre-HCT MRD status         
 MRDneg (n = 649) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 MRDpos (n = 161) 4.31 (3.37-5.52) <.001 3.28 (2.66-4.04) <.001 2.67 (2.15-3.32) <.001 1.71 (1.12-2.62) .014 
Early post-HCT MRD status         
 MRDneg (n = 749) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 MRDpos (n = 61) 10.96 (8.06-14.91) <.001 8.10 (6.11-10.74) <.001 3.90 (2.92-5.21) <.001 2.18 (0.89-5.35) .089 
Early peri-HCT MRD dynamics         
 MRDneg/MRDneg (n = 631) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 MRDneg/MRDpos (n = 18) — — — — 6.24 (3.80-10.25) <.001 — — 
 MRDpos/MRDneg (n = 118) 3.93 (2.95-5.24) <.001 2.91 (2.29-3.70) <.001 2.48 (1.93-3.19) <.001 1.60 (1.01-2.55) .046 
 MRDpos/MRDpos (n = 43) 11.15 (7.70-16.15) <.001 7.58 (5.44-10.57) <.001 4.18 (2.96-5.89) <.001 2.37 (0.96-5.85) .06 
Quantitative MRD dynamics         
 MRDneg (n = 631) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 MRDdecreasing (n = 143) 4.46 (3.42-5.82) <.001 3.23 (2.59-4.03) <.001 2.56 (2.03-3.23) <.001 1.63 (1.05-2.53) .13 
 MRDstable/increasing (n = 36) 29.64 (19.84-44.26) <.001 20.79 (14.36-30.12) <.001 7.17 (4.99-10.30) <.001 4.09 (0.99-16.87) .051 
Post-HCT PB CD3 chimerism         
 Full (n = 335) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Mixed (n = 230) 1.40 (1.06-1.85) .019 1.27 (1.02-1.59) .037 1.11 (0.87-1.40) .53 1.07 (0.73-1.56) .74 
Conditioning regimen         
 MAC (n = 515) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Non-MAC (n = 295) 1.50 (1.18-1.91) .0011 1.81 (1.49-2.20) <.001 1.76 (1.43-2.15) <.001 2.54 (1.84-3.51) <.001 
Disease status         
 First remission (n = 617) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Second remission (n = 193) 1.36 (1.04-1.78) .024 1.41 (1.14-1.75) .0015 1.50 (1.20-1.87) <.001 1.52 (1.06-2.16) .021 
Cytogenetic risk         
 Favorable/intermediate (n = 577) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Adverse (n = 200) 2.05 (1.60-2.64) <.001 1.42 (1.15-1.76) .0013 1.27 (1.01-1.59) .041 0.58 (0.36-0.92) .02 
Age at HCT (per 10 y) 1.09 (1.00-1.19) .061 1.20 (1.11-1.29) <.001 1.20 (1.11-1.30) <.001 1.47 (1.29-1.69) <.001 
WBC at diagnosis 1.00 (1.00-1.00) .76 1.00 (1.00-1.00) .24 1.00 (1.00-1.00) .12 1.00 (1.00-1.00) .77 
HCT comorbidity index         
 0-1 (n = 241) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 2-3 (n = 316) 1.06 (0.79-1.41) .71 1.16 (0.92-1.48) .21 1.21 (0.94-1.56) .14 1.41 (0.93-2.14) .10 
 ≥4 (n = 253) 1.15 (0.85-1.56) .37 1.34 (1.05-1.71) .021 1.40 (1.08-1.82) .01 1.78 (1.17-2.72) .0077 
Type of AML         
 De novo (n = 592) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Secondary (n = 218) 1.17 (0.90-1.52) .24 1.27 (1.03-1.56) .025 1.25 (1.01-1.56) .043 1.45 (1.03-2.03) .032 
Pre-HCT karyotype         
 Normalized (n = 319) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Not normalized (n = 128) 2.27 (1.66-3.10) <.001 2.19 (1.69-2.85) <.001 2.05 (1.55-2.71) <.001 1.96 (1.20-3.20) .0069 
Pre-HCT blood counts*         
 Recovered (n = 589) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Not recovered (n = 221) 1.09 (0.84-1.43) .52 1.31 (1.07-1.62) .01 1.38 (1.11-1.72) .0035 1.80 (1.20-2.52) <.001 
Stem cell source         
 PB (n = 628) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 BM (n = 69) 1.26 (0.85-1.86) .25 1.00 (0.71-1.41) .99 1.00 (0.70-1.42) .98 0.58 (0.28-1.18) .25 
 UCB (n = 113) 0.83 (0.57-1.21) .33 0.89 (0.66-1.19) .42 0.96 (0.71-1.30) .80 0.98 (0.62-1.56) .33 
RelapseRFSOSNRM
HR (95% CI)PHR (95% CI)PHR (95% CI)PHR (95% CI)P
Pre-HCT MRD status         
 MRDneg (n = 649) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 MRDpos (n = 161) 4.31 (3.37-5.52) <.001 3.28 (2.66-4.04) <.001 2.67 (2.15-3.32) <.001 1.71 (1.12-2.62) .014 
Early post-HCT MRD status         
 MRDneg (n = 749) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 MRDpos (n = 61) 10.96 (8.06-14.91) <.001 8.10 (6.11-10.74) <.001 3.90 (2.92-5.21) <.001 2.18 (0.89-5.35) .089 
Early peri-HCT MRD dynamics         
 MRDneg/MRDneg (n = 631) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 MRDneg/MRDpos (n = 18) — — — — 6.24 (3.80-10.25) <.001 — — 
 MRDpos/MRDneg (n = 118) 3.93 (2.95-5.24) <.001 2.91 (2.29-3.70) <.001 2.48 (1.93-3.19) <.001 1.60 (1.01-2.55) .046 
 MRDpos/MRDpos (n = 43) 11.15 (7.70-16.15) <.001 7.58 (5.44-10.57) <.001 4.18 (2.96-5.89) <.001 2.37 (0.96-5.85) .06 
Quantitative MRD dynamics         
 MRDneg (n = 631) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 MRDdecreasing (n = 143) 4.46 (3.42-5.82) <.001 3.23 (2.59-4.03) <.001 2.56 (2.03-3.23) <.001 1.63 (1.05-2.53) .13 
 MRDstable/increasing (n = 36) 29.64 (19.84-44.26) <.001 20.79 (14.36-30.12) <.001 7.17 (4.99-10.30) <.001 4.09 (0.99-16.87) .051 
Post-HCT PB CD3 chimerism         
 Full (n = 335) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Mixed (n = 230) 1.40 (1.06-1.85) .019 1.27 (1.02-1.59) .037 1.11 (0.87-1.40) .53 1.07 (0.73-1.56) .74 
Conditioning regimen         
 MAC (n = 515) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Non-MAC (n = 295) 1.50 (1.18-1.91) .0011 1.81 (1.49-2.20) <.001 1.76 (1.43-2.15) <.001 2.54 (1.84-3.51) <.001 
Disease status         
 First remission (n = 617) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Second remission (n = 193) 1.36 (1.04-1.78) .024 1.41 (1.14-1.75) .0015 1.50 (1.20-1.87) <.001 1.52 (1.06-2.16) .021 
Cytogenetic risk         
 Favorable/intermediate (n = 577) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Adverse (n = 200) 2.05 (1.60-2.64) <.001 1.42 (1.15-1.76) .0013 1.27 (1.01-1.59) .041 0.58 (0.36-0.92) .02 
Age at HCT (per 10 y) 1.09 (1.00-1.19) .061 1.20 (1.11-1.29) <.001 1.20 (1.11-1.30) <.001 1.47 (1.29-1.69) <.001 
WBC at diagnosis 1.00 (1.00-1.00) .76 1.00 (1.00-1.00) .24 1.00 (1.00-1.00) .12 1.00 (1.00-1.00) .77 
HCT comorbidity index         
 0-1 (n = 241) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 2-3 (n = 316) 1.06 (0.79-1.41) .71 1.16 (0.92-1.48) .21 1.21 (0.94-1.56) .14 1.41 (0.93-2.14) .10 
 ≥4 (n = 253) 1.15 (0.85-1.56) .37 1.34 (1.05-1.71) .021 1.40 (1.08-1.82) .01 1.78 (1.17-2.72) .0077 
Type of AML         
 De novo (n = 592) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Secondary (n = 218) 1.17 (0.90-1.52) .24 1.27 (1.03-1.56) .025 1.25 (1.01-1.56) .043 1.45 (1.03-2.03) .032 
Pre-HCT karyotype         
 Normalized (n = 319) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Not normalized (n = 128) 2.27 (1.66-3.10) <.001 2.19 (1.69-2.85) <.001 2.05 (1.55-2.71) <.001 1.96 (1.20-3.20) .0069 
Pre-HCT blood counts*         
 Recovered (n = 589) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 Not recovered (n = 221) 1.09 (0.84-1.43) .52 1.31 (1.07-1.62) .01 1.38 (1.11-1.72) .0035 1.80 (1.20-2.52) <.001 
Stem cell source         
 PB (n = 628) 1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  1 (Reference)  
 BM (n = 69) 1.26 (0.85-1.86) .25 1.00 (0.71-1.41) .99 1.00 (0.70-1.42) .98 0.58 (0.28-1.18) .25 
 UCB (n = 113) 0.83 (0.57-1.21) .33 0.89 (0.66-1.19) .42 0.96 (0.71-1.30) .80 0.98 (0.62-1.56) .33 

ANC, absolute neutrophil count; BM, bone marrow; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; PB, peripheral blood; UCB, umbilical cord blood.

*

Recovered: ANC ≥ 1000/µL and platelets ≥ 100 000/µL; not recovered: ANC < 1000/µL and/or platelets < 100 000/µL.

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