Table 5.

Measures of performance to predict major bleeding

Prediction modelSensitivity, %Specificity, %PPV, %NPV, %C-statistic
Modified ACCP 61.6 (52.6-70.6) 66.2 (64.3-68.2) 8.3 (6.4-10.2) 97.2 (96.4-98.0) 0.65 (0.60-0.69) 
Modified RIETE 1.7 (0.0-4.0) 99.4 (99.1-99.7) 12.5 (0.0-28.7) 95.1 (94.5-96.2) 0.51 (0.49-0.52) 
Modified VTE-BLEED 53.1 (43.9-62.3) 70.9 (69.1-72.8) 8.1 (6.1-10.1) 96.9 (96.1-97.7) 0.61 (0.56-0.66) 
Modified HAS-BLEED 20.2 (12.8-27.5) 93.1 (92.0-94.1) 12.6 (7.8-17.4) 95.9 (95.1-96.8) 0.57 (0.53-0.61) 
Modified OBRI 3.4 (0.1-6.7) 98.5 (98.1-99.0) 10.3 (0.7-19.8) 95.4 (94.6-96.2) 0.51 (0.49-0.51) 
CHAP model* 52.7 (43.4-61.9) 76.1 (74.3-77.9) 10.1 (7.6-12.5) 96.9 (96.1-97.7) 0.65 (0.60-0.70) 
Prediction modelSensitivity, %Specificity, %PPV, %NPV, %C-statistic
Modified ACCP 61.6 (52.6-70.6) 66.2 (64.3-68.2) 8.3 (6.4-10.2) 97.2 (96.4-98.0) 0.65 (0.60-0.69) 
Modified RIETE 1.7 (0.0-4.0) 99.4 (99.1-99.7) 12.5 (0.0-28.7) 95.1 (94.5-96.2) 0.51 (0.49-0.52) 
Modified VTE-BLEED 53.1 (43.9-62.3) 70.9 (69.1-72.8) 8.1 (6.1-10.1) 96.9 (96.1-97.7) 0.61 (0.56-0.66) 
Modified HAS-BLEED 20.2 (12.8-27.5) 93.1 (92.0-94.1) 12.6 (7.8-17.4) 95.9 (95.1-96.8) 0.57 (0.53-0.61) 
Modified OBRI 3.4 (0.1-6.7) 98.5 (98.1-99.0) 10.3 (0.7-19.8) 95.4 (94.6-96.2) 0.51 (0.49-0.51) 
CHAP model* 52.7 (43.4-61.9) 76.1 (74.3-77.9) 10.1 (7.6-12.5) 96.9 (96.1-97.7) 0.65 (0.60-0.70) 

Values in parentheses are 95% CIs.

*

Calculated based on binary risk groups (high vs not high). High-risk and non–high-risk patients were defined as those with ≥2.5% and <2.5% predicted risk of major bleeding at 1 y, respectively, according to the CHAP model.

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