Table 3.

Chronic GvHD risk assignment algorithms for preemptive therapy

Time measuredAge groupComponentsROC AUC, PPV, NPVValidatedReference
cGvHD MS-14 Days 100, 180, 280, 365 Adult Successfully sequenced 6 of the 14 cGvHD naturally occurring peptides. In patients with cGvHD, increased thymosin β-4, eukaryotic translation initiation factor 4γ2, fibrinogen β-chain, and specific fragments of collagen, 1 peptide derived from collagen α-1(I) and another derived from collagen α-2(V), and collagen α-1(III) fragment decreased. 0.83–0.88
ROC AUC = 0.88
PPV = NA
NPV = NA 
Yes 43 
ABLE Day 100 Pediatric Polyomic (immune phenotyping, cytokines, metabolome, clinical) ROC AUC = 0.80
PPV = 0.75
NPV = 0.74 
No Unpublished 
 Day 100 Adult ST2, CXCL9, matrix metalloproteinase 3, and osteopontin ROC AUC = 0.65–0.69
PPV = 0.22–0.32
NPV = 0.88–0.92 
Yes 44 
Time measuredAge groupComponentsROC AUC, PPV, NPVValidatedReference
cGvHD MS-14 Days 100, 180, 280, 365 Adult Successfully sequenced 6 of the 14 cGvHD naturally occurring peptides. In patients with cGvHD, increased thymosin β-4, eukaryotic translation initiation factor 4γ2, fibrinogen β-chain, and specific fragments of collagen, 1 peptide derived from collagen α-1(I) and another derived from collagen α-2(V), and collagen α-1(III) fragment decreased. 0.83–0.88
ROC AUC = 0.88
PPV = NA
NPV = NA 
Yes 43 
ABLE Day 100 Pediatric Polyomic (immune phenotyping, cytokines, metabolome, clinical) ROC AUC = 0.80
PPV = 0.75
NPV = 0.74 
No Unpublished 
 Day 100 Adult ST2, CXCL9, matrix metalloproteinase 3, and osteopontin ROC AUC = 0.65–0.69
PPV = 0.22–0.32
NPV = 0.88–0.92 
Yes 44 

AUC, area under the curve; NA, not available; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; ROC, receiver operator curve.

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