Table 3.

Estimates of VTE recurrence and bleeding incidence relevant to hormone-related VTE

Clinical contextStudy typeAbsolute risk estimatesCommentsReferences
VTE recurrence risk 
Women (all ages, various VTE types)
• Stopped anticoagulants 
Individual patient data meta-analysis including data (n  =  1268) VTE recurrence:
5.3% (95% CI, 4.1-6.7) after 1 year
9.1% (95% CI, 7.3-11.3) after 3 years 
In this study hormone-related VTE were grouped with unprovoked VTE. 37  
Women with a first hormonal- contraceptive–related VTE,
• Stopped anticoagulants
• Stopped hormonal contraceptives 
Two systematic reviews and meta-analyses (n  =  3 112 and n  =  1537) VTE recurrence:
1.3 (95% CI, 0.7-2.4) and 1.2 (95% CI, 0.9-1.6) per 100 person-years 
Several studies in these systematic reviews overlapped. 25,26  
Women with a first VTE
• Stopped anticoagulant therapy (VKA)
• Started or continued hormonal contraceptives 
Cohort study (n   =   650) VTE recurrence:
4.8 (95% CI, 2.3-8.9) per 100 person-years, vs 1.5 (95% CI, 1.1-2.3) among those who did not use combined hormonal contraceptives 
Similar results for women using only combined hormonal contraceptives during the first VTE and those who had an additional otherwise provoking factor (eg, surgery, cast, immobility, etc). 11  
Women and men (all ages) with a provoked VTE by a nonsurgical risk factor
• Stopped anticoagulant therapy 
Systematic review of cohort studies
(n   =   509) 
VTE recurrence:
4.2 (95% CI, 2.8-5.6) per 100 person-years 
Estimate can be used to approximate VTE recurrence risk after a pregnancy-related VTE, no direct data available in this group. 38  
Bleeding risk 
Women and men (all ages, unprovoked VTE)
• During extended oral anticoagulant therapy with DOAC 
Systematic review and meta-analyses (n  =  7220) Major bleeding:
1.1 events (95% CI, 0.7-1.6 events) per 100 person-years 
No data on reduced-dose strategy.
No data on heavy menstrual bleeding. 
39  
Women and men (all ages, unprovoked VTE)
• After stopping anticoagulant therapy 
Systematic review and meta-analyses (n  =  8740) Major bleeding:
0.4 events (95% CI, 0.2-0.5) per 100 person- years 
 40  
Clinical contextStudy typeAbsolute risk estimatesCommentsReferences
VTE recurrence risk 
Women (all ages, various VTE types)
• Stopped anticoagulants 
Individual patient data meta-analysis including data (n  =  1268) VTE recurrence:
5.3% (95% CI, 4.1-6.7) after 1 year
9.1% (95% CI, 7.3-11.3) after 3 years 
In this study hormone-related VTE were grouped with unprovoked VTE. 37  
Women with a first hormonal- contraceptive–related VTE,
• Stopped anticoagulants
• Stopped hormonal contraceptives 
Two systematic reviews and meta-analyses (n  =  3 112 and n  =  1537) VTE recurrence:
1.3 (95% CI, 0.7-2.4) and 1.2 (95% CI, 0.9-1.6) per 100 person-years 
Several studies in these systematic reviews overlapped. 25,26  
Women with a first VTE
• Stopped anticoagulant therapy (VKA)
• Started or continued hormonal contraceptives 
Cohort study (n   =   650) VTE recurrence:
4.8 (95% CI, 2.3-8.9) per 100 person-years, vs 1.5 (95% CI, 1.1-2.3) among those who did not use combined hormonal contraceptives 
Similar results for women using only combined hormonal contraceptives during the first VTE and those who had an additional otherwise provoking factor (eg, surgery, cast, immobility, etc). 11  
Women and men (all ages) with a provoked VTE by a nonsurgical risk factor
• Stopped anticoagulant therapy 
Systematic review of cohort studies
(n   =   509) 
VTE recurrence:
4.2 (95% CI, 2.8-5.6) per 100 person-years 
Estimate can be used to approximate VTE recurrence risk after a pregnancy-related VTE, no direct data available in this group. 38  
Bleeding risk 
Women and men (all ages, unprovoked VTE)
• During extended oral anticoagulant therapy with DOAC 
Systematic review and meta-analyses (n  =  7220) Major bleeding:
1.1 events (95% CI, 0.7-1.6 events) per 100 person-years 
No data on reduced-dose strategy.
No data on heavy menstrual bleeding. 
39  
Women and men (all ages, unprovoked VTE)
• After stopping anticoagulant therapy 
Systematic review and meta-analyses (n  =  8740) Major bleeding:
0.4 events (95% CI, 0.2-0.5) per 100 person- years 
 40  

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