Base-case and scenario analysis results for iptacopan monotherapy vs anticomplement C5 therapy
Strategy . | Cost (million $) . | Incremental cost (million $) . | Effectiveness (QALYs) . | Incremental effectiveness (QALYs) . | % cost-effective at WTP threshold of $50 000 per QALY . | % cost-effective at WTP threshold of $100 000 per QALY . | % cost-effective at WTP threshold of $150 000 per QALY . |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US societal perspective | |||||||
Base case∗ | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.52 | 12.6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 13.5 | 4.01 | 10.8 | −1.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $4 100 000 (3 250 000-4 990 000), $4 190 000 (3 330 000-5 100 000), $4 280 000 (3 390 000-5 210 000). | |||||||
Scenario (5-y time horizon) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 2.34 | 3.08 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 3.33 | 0.99 | 2.65 | −0.43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $1 010 000 (803 000-1 230 000), $1 030 000 (822 000-1 260 000), $1 050 000 (837 000-1 290 000) | |||||||
Scenario (PRINCE utilities) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.52 | 13.6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 13.5 | 4.01 | 12.5 | −1.11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $4 070 000 (3 240 000-4 960 000), $4 120 000 (3 290 000-5 030 000), $4 180 000 (3 340 000-5 120 000) | |||||||
Scenario (GBD 2019 utilities) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.52 | 15.7 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 13.5 | 4.01 | 14.3 | −1.38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $4 080 000 (3 250 000-4 960 000), $4 150 000 (3 320 000-5 040 000), $4 220 000 (3 390 000-5 110 000) | |||||||
Scenario (average wholesale price) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 12.8 | 12.6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 15.0 | 2.21 | 10.8 | −1.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $2 300 000 (1 450 000-3 180 000), $2 390 000 (1 530 000-3 290 000), $2 480 000 (1 590 000-3 410 000) | |||||||
Scenario (iptacopan discontinuation) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 11.1 | 11.8 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 13.5 | 2.48 | 10.9 | −1.02 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $2 530 000 (1 890 000-3 190 000), $2 580 000 (1 920 000-3 260 000), $2 630 000 (1 960 000-3 330 000) | |||||||
Scenario (Iptacopan discontinuation, 5-y time horizon) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 2.43 | 3.04 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 3.33 | 0.90 | 2.65 | −0.39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $920 000 (726 000-1 130 000), $940 000 (741 000-1 150 000), $959 000 (756 000-1 180 000) | |||||||
Scenario (individual-level, trial-specific patient data transition probability matrix) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.28 | 12.6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 11.7 | 2.38 | 10.9 | −1.70 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $2 470 000 (2 150 000-2 810 000), $2 550 000 (2 230 000-2 910 000), $2 640 000 (2 320 000-3 000 000) | |||||||
Scenario (individual-level, trial-specific patient data transition probability matrix and health state utilities) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.28 | 13.7 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 11.7 | 2.38 | 10.9 | −2.83 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $2 520 000 (2 200 000-2 860 000), $2 660 000 (2 330 000-3 010 000), $2 800 000 (2 480 000-3 170 000) | |||||||
US health care system perspective | |||||||
Base case | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.52 | 12.6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 13.4 | 3.84 | 10.8 | −1.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $3 930 000 (3 090 000-4 810 000), $4 020 000 (3 170 000-4 920 000), $4 110 000 (3 230 000-5 040 000) | |||||||
Scenario (5-y time horizon) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 2.34 | 3.08 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 3.29 | 0.95 | 2.65 | −0.43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $969 000 (760 000-1 190 000), $991 000 (781 000-1 210 000), $1 010 000 (797 000-1 240 000) |
Strategy . | Cost (million $) . | Incremental cost (million $) . | Effectiveness (QALYs) . | Incremental effectiveness (QALYs) . | % cost-effective at WTP threshold of $50 000 per QALY . | % cost-effective at WTP threshold of $100 000 per QALY . | % cost-effective at WTP threshold of $150 000 per QALY . |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US societal perspective | |||||||
Base case∗ | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.52 | 12.6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 13.5 | 4.01 | 10.8 | −1.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $4 100 000 (3 250 000-4 990 000), $4 190 000 (3 330 000-5 100 000), $4 280 000 (3 390 000-5 210 000). | |||||||
Scenario (5-y time horizon) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 2.34 | 3.08 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 3.33 | 0.99 | 2.65 | −0.43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $1 010 000 (803 000-1 230 000), $1 030 000 (822 000-1 260 000), $1 050 000 (837 000-1 290 000) | |||||||
Scenario (PRINCE utilities) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.52 | 13.6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 13.5 | 4.01 | 12.5 | −1.11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $4 070 000 (3 240 000-4 960 000), $4 120 000 (3 290 000-5 030 000), $4 180 000 (3 340 000-5 120 000) | |||||||
Scenario (GBD 2019 utilities) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.52 | 15.7 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 13.5 | 4.01 | 14.3 | −1.38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $4 080 000 (3 250 000-4 960 000), $4 150 000 (3 320 000-5 040 000), $4 220 000 (3 390 000-5 110 000) | |||||||
Scenario (average wholesale price) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 12.8 | 12.6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 15.0 | 2.21 | 10.8 | −1.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $2 300 000 (1 450 000-3 180 000), $2 390 000 (1 530 000-3 290 000), $2 480 000 (1 590 000-3 410 000) | |||||||
Scenario (iptacopan discontinuation) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 11.1 | 11.8 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 13.5 | 2.48 | 10.9 | −1.02 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $2 530 000 (1 890 000-3 190 000), $2 580 000 (1 920 000-3 260 000), $2 630 000 (1 960 000-3 330 000) | |||||||
Scenario (Iptacopan discontinuation, 5-y time horizon) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 2.43 | 3.04 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 3.33 | 0.90 | 2.65 | −0.39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $920 000 (726 000-1 130 000), $940 000 (741 000-1 150 000), $959 000 (756 000-1 180 000) | |||||||
Scenario (individual-level, trial-specific patient data transition probability matrix) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.28 | 12.6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 11.7 | 2.38 | 10.9 | −1.70 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $2 470 000 (2 150 000-2 810 000), $2 550 000 (2 230 000-2 910 000), $2 640 000 (2 320 000-3 000 000) | |||||||
Scenario (individual-level, trial-specific patient data transition probability matrix and health state utilities) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.28 | 13.7 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 11.7 | 2.38 | 10.9 | −2.83 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $2 520 000 (2 200 000-2 860 000), $2 660 000 (2 330 000-3 010 000), $2 800 000 (2 480 000-3 170 000) | |||||||
US health care system perspective | |||||||
Base case | |||||||
Iptacopan | 9.52 | 12.6 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 13.4 | 3.84 | 10.8 | −1.78 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $3 930 000 (3 090 000-4 810 000), $4 020 000 (3 170 000-4 920 000), $4 110 000 (3 230 000-5 040 000) | |||||||
Scenario (5-y time horizon) | |||||||
Iptacopan | 2.34 | 3.08 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||
Anti-C5 | 3.29 | 0.95 | 2.65 | −0.43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
iNMB at WTP thresholds of $50 000, $100 000, $150 000 per QALY (95% CI) $969 000 (760 000-1 190 000), $991 000 (781 000-1 210 000), $1 010 000 (797 000-1 240 000) |
Iptacopan monotherapy is a cost-saving treatment option across all scenarios.
CI, credible interval; iNMB, incremental net monetary benefit; QALY, quality-adjusted life year; WTP, willingness-to-pay.
Patient time lost from C5 inhibitor use in base case: 730 hours from ravulizumab and 2920 hours from eculizumab.