Table 4

Risk-stratification models to predict progression of SMM to myeloma or related disorders

Addition of FLC ratio to known prognostic categoriesPatients, no.Relative risk (95% CI)PAbsolute risk of progression at 10 y, % (% corrected for death as competing risk)
High-risk (serum M protein 30 gm/L or more and BMPC 10% or more) 
    FLC ratio 0.125 to 8 28 .011 58.8 (51.3) 
    FLC ratio less than 0.125 or more than 8 78 2.06 (1.18-3.59) — 83.8 (75.2) 
Intermediate-risk (serum M protein less than 30 gm/L and BMPC 10% or more) 
    FLC ratio 0.125 to 8 58 .028 58.3 (40.4) 
    FLC ratio less than 0.125 or more than 8 82 1.72 (1.06-2.80) — 68.5 (56.8) 
Low-risk (serum M protein 30 gm/L or more and BMPC less than 10%) 
    FLC ratio 0.125 to 8 23 .96 32.2 (22.8) 
    FLC ratio less than 0.125 or more than 8 1.05 (0.21-5.32) — 33.3 (25.0) 
Addition of FLC ratio to known prognostic categoriesPatients, no.Relative risk (95% CI)PAbsolute risk of progression at 10 y, % (% corrected for death as competing risk)
High-risk (serum M protein 30 gm/L or more and BMPC 10% or more) 
    FLC ratio 0.125 to 8 28 .011 58.8 (51.3) 
    FLC ratio less than 0.125 or more than 8 78 2.06 (1.18-3.59) — 83.8 (75.2) 
Intermediate-risk (serum M protein less than 30 gm/L and BMPC 10% or more) 
    FLC ratio 0.125 to 8 58 .028 58.3 (40.4) 
    FLC ratio less than 0.125 or more than 8 82 1.72 (1.06-2.80) — 68.5 (56.8) 
Low-risk (serum M protein 30 gm/L or more and BMPC less than 10%) 
    FLC ratio 0.125 to 8 23 .96 32.2 (22.8) 
    FLC ratio less than 0.125 or more than 8 1.05 (0.21-5.32) — 33.3 (25.0) 

— indicates not applicable.

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