Table 3.

Average annual change in graded exercise performance over the course of 20 years by sickle cell trait status

No.Baseline mean (95% CI)Mean change/year (95% CI)Mean change/year (95% CI), relative to No SCTP value*
Test duration , sec      
 No SCT 1402 540.4 (535.0-545.8) −9.12 (−9.50 to −8.75) Reference  
 SCT 101 540.8 (520.6-561.1) −8.71 (−10.10 to −7.32) 0.41 (−1.03 to 1.85) .58 
Estimated METs      
 No SCT 1402 11.7 (11.6-11.8) −0.12 (−0.13 to −0.11) Reference  
 SCT 101 11.8 (11.5-12.1) −0.12 (−0.15 to −0.10) 0.00 (−0.03 to 0.02) .82 
Maximum HR, beats/min      
 No SCT 1402 176.1 (175.2-177.0) −0.56 (−0.61 to −0.51) Reference  
 SCT 101 174.7 (171.4-177.9) −0.46 (−0.71 to −0.20) 0.10 (−0.10 to 0.30) .34 
HR recovery at 2 min, beats/min      
 No SCT 1390 43.2 (42.6-43.8) −0.25 (−0.28 to −0.21) Reference  
 SCT 101 44.5 (42.3-46.6) −0.24 (−0.39 to −0.09) 0.01 (−0.15 to 0.16) .94 
No.Baseline mean (95% CI)Mean change/year (95% CI)Mean change/year (95% CI), relative to No SCTP value*
Test duration , sec      
 No SCT 1402 540.4 (535.0-545.8) −9.12 (−9.50 to −8.75) Reference  
 SCT 101 540.8 (520.6-561.1) −8.71 (−10.10 to −7.32) 0.41 (−1.03 to 1.85) .58 
Estimated METs      
 No SCT 1402 11.7 (11.6-11.8) −0.12 (−0.13 to −0.11) Reference  
 SCT 101 11.8 (11.5-12.1) −0.12 (−0.15 to −0.10) 0.00 (−0.03 to 0.02) .82 
Maximum HR, beats/min      
 No SCT 1402 176.1 (175.2-177.0) −0.56 (−0.61 to −0.51) Reference  
 SCT 101 174.7 (171.4-177.9) −0.46 (−0.71 to −0.20) 0.10 (−0.10 to 0.30) .34 
HR recovery at 2 min, beats/min      
 No SCT 1390 43.2 (42.6-43.8) −0.25 (−0.28 to −0.21) Reference  
 SCT 101 44.5 (42.3-46.6) −0.24 (−0.39 to −0.09) 0.01 (−0.15 to 0.16) .94 

Fitness testing was performed at years 7 and 20. Analysis sample included participants with fitness data available at baseline and at least 1 more exam at year 7 or year 20. Models were adjusted for sex, baseline age, physical activity, and BMI.

SCT, sickle cell trait carrier status.

*

P values for comparisons between SCT and No SCT (reference).

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