Table 1.

Risk factors for evolution to MPN-BP

Risk factorCommentsReference
Clinicopathologic Cumulative incidence >20 y for MPN-BP: 3.8%, 6.8%, and 14.2% in ET, PV, and PMF, respectively, in contemporary series from the Mayo clinic; evolution to overt MF phenotype often precedes MPN-BF in PV; in post-PV MF, high circulating CD34 counts; platelet count <100 × 109/L implicated in MPN-BP; median age at diagnosis: 61, 60, and 65 y for PV, ET, and MF, respectively 12,15,16,19,33,95,96  
 MPN subtype 
  PMF 
  Post-ET MF 
  Post-PV MF 
Cytoreductive agents Controversy regarding leukemogenic potential of hydroxyurea in the MPNs, which is not supported by evidence from large retrospective series 15,19,,,,-24  
 Phosphorus-32 
 Chlorambucil 
 Piprobroman 
 Busulphan 
Laboratory parameters Blasts ≥3% + platelets <100 × 109/L indicates high risk for MPN-BP; blasts ≥10% + platelets <50 × 109/L indicates accelerated disease/very high risk for MPN-BP; transfusion dependency; WBC >30 × 109/L; WBC >15 × 109/L + age >61 y + abnormal karyotype (in PV) 13,14,17,-19  
 Circulating blasts 
 Anemia 
 Leukocytosis 
 Thrombocytopenia 
Molecular/genetic Unfavorable karyotype in DIPSS-plus: +8, −7/7q, i(17q), −5/5q−, 12p−, inv(3), and 11q23 or chromosome 5, 7, or 17p abnormalities indicates >6× risk of MPN-BP 18,26,27,29,,-32  
 Unfavorable karyotype (PMF) 
 17p deletion 
 Mutations 
ASXL1, IDH1/2, EZH2, SRSF2 
TET2, TP53 
 Absence of CALR (in PMF) 
 ≥2 mutations 
 Germ line duplication of ATG2B/GSKIP* 
Prognostic scoring systems (PMF) In DIPSS, high risk for evolution to MPN-BP indicated by 7.8 for intermediate-2–risk disease and 24.9 for high-risk disease when compared with low risk; in DIPSS-plus, unfavorable karyotype + platelet count <100 000/uK indicates high risk for MPN-BP; MIPSS70 very high-risk category: 23% developed MPN-BP (HR, 13.3) when compared with low risk 25,28  
 Higher-risk DIPSS score 
 DIPSS-plus score 
 High-risk MIPSS70 score 
 Very high-risk MIPSS70-plus score 
Risk factorCommentsReference
Clinicopathologic Cumulative incidence >20 y for MPN-BP: 3.8%, 6.8%, and 14.2% in ET, PV, and PMF, respectively, in contemporary series from the Mayo clinic; evolution to overt MF phenotype often precedes MPN-BF in PV; in post-PV MF, high circulating CD34 counts; platelet count <100 × 109/L implicated in MPN-BP; median age at diagnosis: 61, 60, and 65 y for PV, ET, and MF, respectively 12,15,16,19,33,95,96  
 MPN subtype 
  PMF 
  Post-ET MF 
  Post-PV MF 
Cytoreductive agents Controversy regarding leukemogenic potential of hydroxyurea in the MPNs, which is not supported by evidence from large retrospective series 15,19,,,,-24  
 Phosphorus-32 
 Chlorambucil 
 Piprobroman 
 Busulphan 
Laboratory parameters Blasts ≥3% + platelets <100 × 109/L indicates high risk for MPN-BP; blasts ≥10% + platelets <50 × 109/L indicates accelerated disease/very high risk for MPN-BP; transfusion dependency; WBC >30 × 109/L; WBC >15 × 109/L + age >61 y + abnormal karyotype (in PV) 13,14,17,-19  
 Circulating blasts 
 Anemia 
 Leukocytosis 
 Thrombocytopenia 
Molecular/genetic Unfavorable karyotype in DIPSS-plus: +8, −7/7q, i(17q), −5/5q−, 12p−, inv(3), and 11q23 or chromosome 5, 7, or 17p abnormalities indicates >6× risk of MPN-BP 18,26,27,29,,-32  
 Unfavorable karyotype (PMF) 
 17p deletion 
 Mutations 
ASXL1, IDH1/2, EZH2, SRSF2 
TET2, TP53 
 Absence of CALR (in PMF) 
 ≥2 mutations 
 Germ line duplication of ATG2B/GSKIP* 
Prognostic scoring systems (PMF) In DIPSS, high risk for evolution to MPN-BP indicated by 7.8 for intermediate-2–risk disease and 24.9 for high-risk disease when compared with low risk; in DIPSS-plus, unfavorable karyotype + platelet count <100 000/uK indicates high risk for MPN-BP; MIPSS70 very high-risk category: 23% developed MPN-BP (HR, 13.3) when compared with low risk 25,28  
 Higher-risk DIPSS score 
 DIPSS-plus score 
 High-risk MIPSS70 score 
 Very high-risk MIPSS70-plus score 

DIPSS, Dynamic International Prognostic Scoring System; HR, hazard ratio; MIPSS, Mutation-Enhanced International Prognostic Score System; WBC, white blood cell.

*

Associated with a familial MPN phenotype with high risk of MF and MPN-BP evolution.

Unfavorable karyotype in MIPSS70-plus: any abnormal karyotype other than normal karyotype or sole abnormalities of 20q−, 13q−, +9, chromosome 1 translocation/duplication, or sex chromosome abnormality other than −Y.

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