Deterministic and stochastic processes in hematopoiesis. (A) In the deterministic model, hematopoietic growth factors such as Epo, G-CSF, macrophage colony-stimulating factor (M-CSF) instruct differentiation of blood stem cells. (B) In the stochastic model, these growth factors as well as others such as interleukin-3 (IL-3) or stem cell factor (SCF) promote survival, allowing stem cells to differentiate. (C) Results of 6-generation stochastic cell-fate simulations. A pluripotent stem cell can either divide into 2 stem cells or differentiate, losing its proliferative capacity. Simulations were run using a random number generator. The probability of birth was 60%, death 40%, the decision for each cell was performed by picking a random number 0 to 9 with 7 of these numbers (0-5) resulting in symmetric division and 3 (6-9) resulting in stem cell loss due to differentiation. Starting with 1 cell and drawing random numbers for each stem cell present in each generation leads to very different final populations, illustrating the randomness a stochastic model can incorporate. (Figure modified from Till et al22 with permission from Dr Till.)