Incidence and Predictors of Sars-Cov-2 Antibody Responses Following COVID-19 Vaccination in Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplant Recipients

Background

Pharmacologic immunosuppression and incomplete immune reconstitution after allogeneic stem cell transplant (alloSCT) may impair a patient's ability to mount an immune response to vaccines, including currently available COVID-19 vaccines. Since immunocompromised patients are susceptible to severe COVID-19 and likely to respond poorly to vaccination, we sought to characterize SARS-CoV-2 antibody responses after vaccination in alloSCT patients to determine predictors of serologic response, which may inform timing of vaccine administration.

Methods

This retrospective analysis included adult patients who underwent alloSCT at the University of Pennsylvania between 1/1/2019 and 1/1/2021. Chart review identified patients who had received COVID-19 vaccines and had post-vaccination antibody titers drawn by July 2021 as part of routine care (n=63). Antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 spike protein receptor binding domain were detected using an assay developed at the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania. Variables analyzed include interval between transplant date and initial vaccination, active GVHD, concurrent immunosuppressive therapy, absolute CD4 count greater than or equal to 200 cells/mm3 peri-vaccination, and total IgG greater than or equal to 400 mg/dL peri-vaccination. Immunosuppressive therapy was defined as tacrolimus, rituximab, ruxolitinib, prednisone 10 mg daily or greater, or extracorporeal photopheresis. Predictors of positive antibody response were assessed using a multivariate, binary logistic regression.

Results

Median transplant to vaccine interval was 458 days (range 125 to 813) for the 63 vaccinated patients with serologies available. GVHD was present in 23/63 (37%), and 19/63 (30%) were receiving immunosuppressive therapies at the time of vaccination. CD4 count greater than 200 cells/mm3 was observed in 49 patients (78%), and total IgG greater than 400 mg/dL was observed in 51 patients (81%). In total, 50/63 patients (79%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies. Positive serologies were observed in 41/49 (84%) with CD4 counts greater than 200 cells/mm3, compared to 9/14 (64%) with CD4 less than 200 cells/mm3. Our model found that peri-vaccination CD4 count greater than 200 cells/mm3 was a significant predictor of positive SARS-CoV-2 IgG serologies in this population (OR 2.14, 97.5% CI = 0.7 to 3.8, p= 0.005). Transplant to vaccine interval, total IgG levels, GVHD status, and immunosuppressive therapies were not significant predictors of serologic response. As of July 2021 no patients had developed COVID-19 after vaccination, regardless of serologic response.

Conclusions

This retrospective observational study demonstrates that the majority of alloSCT patients vaccinated against COVID-19 within 2 years of transplant, including those with active GVHD and on immunosuppressive therapies, can mount serologic responses. CD4 count greater than 200 cells/mm3 is a significant predictor of positive serologic response, though even among patients with CD4 counts under 200 cells/mm3 over 60% developed SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies.