Abstract
A meta-analysis by our group has shown an elevated risk of lymphoma with thiopurine therapy for IBD (Kandiel 2005 Gut). It summed referral data and population (pop) data, but the risk of lymphoma in referral centers may be skewed higher due to referral bias (Ang 2006 PMID 16531538). Since a previous meta-analysis presented in 2012 (Kotlyar 2012, DDW), there have been two large population based studies published (Pasternak 2013 Am J of Epidemiol, Abbas 2013 Gastroenterology). The latter study reported on a nationwide database of patients from the Veterans Affairs (VA) Hospitals from the United States.
Calculate the standard incidence rate of lymphoma in pts exposed to AZA/6-MP in population cohort studies and contrast these results to referral center studies.
We searched MEDLINE and the Cochrane Database for: “lymphoproliferative and thiopurines”; and “azathioprine and lymphoma”. Included citations were IBD cohort studies, evaluated cancer as an outcome, and pts. received AZA and/or 6-MP. Additionally a comprehensive search of the literature and abstracts from international meetings (2005-2013) was done. In our study additional data were extracted from the Spanish collaborative registry ENEIDA. Pooled standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated. CIs assumed a Poisson distribution. To examine for heterogeneity, the deviance statistic from Poisson regression models was examined.
There were 507 citations, and fifteen citations were included. Two studies (Korelitz and Kinlen) were obtained from Kandiel 2005, and Lewis 2001 was replaced by Armstrong 2010 as data were of the GPRD database. In referral studies (n=7), the SIR = 6.47 (95% CI: 3.77-10.36). In pop studies (n=8), the SIR = 2.27 (95% CI: 1.76-2.88). Overall the SIR was = 2.61 (95% CI: 2.08-3.23). Data from referral centers did not show significant heterogeneity (p=0.052), while pop studies did show significant heterogeneity (p=0.003). Results between referral and pop centers showed a significant difference (p<0.01).
Pts with IBD who are treated with thiopurines have approximately a 3-fold increased risk of lymphoma as compared to the general pop. The SIR of referral studies were seen to be significantly higher than those of population based studies, consistent with possible referral bias. Also, the addition of two population based studies have added 58,349 person-years of follow-up to our analysis.With a total of 84 lymphomas observed, and with total pt-years being 184,085, this study shows 2,191 pt-yrs per lymphoma in the exposed group.
Meta-analysis of Standardized Incidence Ratios (SIR)
Referral Center Study . | Observed . | Expected . | SIR . | 95% CI . | No. of pts. (PY) . |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connell (PMID: 7910274) | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | NA | 755 (6,795 PY) |
Farrell (PMID: 10986211) | 2 | 0.05 | 37.5 | (3.53-138) | 238* (1,642 PY, as calculated by Kandiel 2005) |
Fraser (PMID:12144571) | 3 | 0.65 | 4.64 | (0.87-13.7) | 626 (4,319 PY) |
Kinlen (Am J Med 1985;78:44-9) | 2 | 0.16 | 12.5 | (1.18-46.0) | 321 (1,430 PY) |
Korelitz (PMID: 10566724) | 3 | 0.61 | 4.91 | (0.93-14.5) | 486 (2,867 PY) |
Van Domselaar (PMID: 19889478) | 5 | 0.38 | 13.3 | (4.19-31.2) | 345 (3,243 PY) |
Ashworth (PMID: 21887728) | 2 | 0.26 | 7.75** | (0.73-28.5)* | 839 (4,027 PY) |
Combined | 17 | 2.63 | 6.47 | (3.76-10.4) | 3,610 (24,323 PY) |
Population Based Study | Observed | Expected | SIR | 95% CI | No. of pts. (PY) |
Armstrong (PMID: 20104215) | 4 | 1.497 | 2.67 | (0.69-6.91) | 1,955 (12,512 PY) |
Beaugerie (PMID: 19837455), additional primary data | 17 | 3.58 | 4.75 | (2.76-7.62) | 8,676 (26,634 PY) |
Gisbert (Gastroenterol 2010), additional primary data | 4 | 4.32 | 0.93 | (0.24-2.39) | 3,900 (37,206 PY) |
Herrinton (PMID:22031357) | 9 | 5.64 | 1.60 | (0.72-3.04)* | NR (20,575 PY) |
Peyrin-Biroulet (Gastroenterol 2010) | 1 | 0.166 | 6.02 | (0-34.5) | 165 (837 PY) |
Lakatos (PMID:22766526) | 0 | 0.410 | 0 | NA | 299 (3,649 PY) |
Pasternak (PMID:23514635) | 14 | 8.54 | 1.64 | (0.90-2.75 | 10,423 (32, 621 PY) |
Abbas (PMID: 23891975) | 18 | 5.39 | 3.34 | (1.98-5.28) | NR (25,728 PY) |
Combined | 67 | 29.5 | 2.27 | (1.76-2.88) | NR (159, 762 PY) |
Overall Data | Observed | Expected | SIR | 95% CI | No. of pts. |
All Studies | 84 | 32.2 | 2.61 | (2.08-3.23) | NR (184, 085 PY) |
Referral Center Study . | Observed . | Expected . | SIR . | 95% CI . | No. of pts. (PY) . |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connell (PMID: 7910274) | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | NA | 755 (6,795 PY) |
Farrell (PMID: 10986211) | 2 | 0.05 | 37.5 | (3.53-138) | 238* (1,642 PY, as calculated by Kandiel 2005) |
Fraser (PMID:12144571) | 3 | 0.65 | 4.64 | (0.87-13.7) | 626 (4,319 PY) |
Kinlen (Am J Med 1985;78:44-9) | 2 | 0.16 | 12.5 | (1.18-46.0) | 321 (1,430 PY) |
Korelitz (PMID: 10566724) | 3 | 0.61 | 4.91 | (0.93-14.5) | 486 (2,867 PY) |
Van Domselaar (PMID: 19889478) | 5 | 0.38 | 13.3 | (4.19-31.2) | 345 (3,243 PY) |
Ashworth (PMID: 21887728) | 2 | 0.26 | 7.75** | (0.73-28.5)* | 839 (4,027 PY) |
Combined | 17 | 2.63 | 6.47 | (3.76-10.4) | 3,610 (24,323 PY) |
Population Based Study | Observed | Expected | SIR | 95% CI | No. of pts. (PY) |
Armstrong (PMID: 20104215) | 4 | 1.497 | 2.67 | (0.69-6.91) | 1,955 (12,512 PY) |
Beaugerie (PMID: 19837455), additional primary data | 17 | 3.58 | 4.75 | (2.76-7.62) | 8,676 (26,634 PY) |
Gisbert (Gastroenterol 2010), additional primary data | 4 | 4.32 | 0.93 | (0.24-2.39) | 3,900 (37,206 PY) |
Herrinton (PMID:22031357) | 9 | 5.64 | 1.60 | (0.72-3.04)* | NR (20,575 PY) |
Peyrin-Biroulet (Gastroenterol 2010) | 1 | 0.166 | 6.02 | (0-34.5) | 165 (837 PY) |
Lakatos (PMID:22766526) | 0 | 0.410 | 0 | NA | 299 (3,649 PY) |
Pasternak (PMID:23514635) | 14 | 8.54 | 1.64 | (0.90-2.75 | 10,423 (32, 621 PY) |
Abbas (PMID: 23891975) | 18 | 5.39 | 3.34 | (1.98-5.28) | NR (25,728 PY) |
Combined | 67 | 29.5 | 2.27 | (1.76-2.88) | NR (159, 762 PY) |
Overall Data | Observed | Expected | SIR | 95% CI | No. of pts. |
All Studies | 84 | 32.2 | 2.61 | (2.08-3.23) | NR (184, 085 PY) |
est=estimated NA= Not applicable NR= Not recorded CI = Confidence Interval SIR = Standardized Incidence Ratio
PY = Person*Years * CI recalculated by statistician (AT) using Poisson distribution ** SIR recalculated from expected number and observed number reported in text
Lewis:Pfizer: Consultancy; Centocor: Consultancy; Allos: Research Funding; Shire: Consultancy; Takeda: Research Funding; Amgen: Research Funding; Millenium: Consultancy; AstraZeneca: Consultancy; GlaxoSmithKline: Consultancy; Dark Canyon Labs: Consultancy; Roche Pharma AG: Consultancy. Beaugerie:Ferring : Speakers Bureau; Schering-Plough: Speakers Bureau; Merck : Speakers Bureau. Loftus:Pfizer: Consultancy; Genentech: Research Funding; Braintree: Research Funding; Abbott: Consultancy, Research Funding; UCB: Consultancy, Research Funding; Bristol-Myers Squibb: Consultancy, Research Funding; Shire: Membership on an entity’s Board of Directors or advisory committees; Centocor: Research Funding; Takeda: Research Funding; Amgen: Research Funding. Lichtenstein:Abbott: Research Funding; BristolMyers: Consultancy; Centocor: Consultancy, Research Funding; Elan: Research Funding; Ferring: Consultancy; MilleniumResearch: Consultancy; Procter and Gamble: Consultancy, Research Funding; Prometheus: Consultancy, Research Funding; Salix: Consultancy, Research Funding; Warner-Chilcotte: Consultancy, Research Funding; Schering-Plough: Consultancy; Shire: Consultancy, Research Funding; Wyeth: Consultancy; UCB: Consultancy.
Author notes
Asterisk with author names denotes non-ASH members.
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