Abstract
Albumin, ferritin, and peripheral blood counts broadly capture health status in patients undergoing allogeneic stem cell transplantation (HCT). Whether they add any prognostic information to the HCT-Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI) is unknown. We analyzed the independent prognostic role of a group of 5 biomarkers (ferritin, albumin, absolute neutrophil count (ANC), hemoglobin (Hgb), and platelet (Plt) count) in pts given allogeneic HCT for hematologic malignancies.
This was a multi-center, retrospective discovery-validation study comprising data from 3917 recipients of allogeneic HCT at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Institute (FHCRC) (n=1789) and Dana Farber Cancer Institute (DF) (n=716) in the US and the Gruppo Italiano Trapianto di Midollo Osseo (GITMO) (n=1412) in Italy (Table 1). Proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazards of non-relapse mortality (NRM) and survival after adjustment for the HCT-CI, donor type, CMV serostatus, regimen intensity, age, disease risk and Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS). These were stratified by institution. Model performances were tested by c-statistic estimates.
In an initial analysis within the FHCRC population, ANC of <500 and Hgb of < 9 were not associated with outcomes in the models. Alternatively, ferritin >1000 (HR 1.98; p=0.0003) and >2500 (HR 1.97; p=0.0005); albumin <3.5 (HR 1.63; p<0.00001) and <3.0 (HR 1.73 p<0.0001); and Plt <100k (HR 1.65; p<0.0001), <50k (HR 1.52; p<0.0001) , and <20K (HR 1.54; p<0.008) were all statistically significantly associated with NRM.
Results were validated in a larger population from DF and GITMO. In multivariate models, adjusted for previously mentioned variables, ferritin >2500 and incremental decreases in albumin and Plt counts had statistically significant associations with both NRM and survival (Table 2). Of note, HCT-CI scores (2, 3 and >4) also retained significant associations with NRM and survival in the presence of the three biomarker values and in both cohorts. Subsequent multivariate analyses stratified the whole cohort (n=3917) into a training (n=2352) and a validation (n=1407) set. In both sets, albumin <3.5, plts <100K, and ferritin >2500 had statistical significance associations with NRM and survival. Each of the three biomarker values were subsequently assigned a weight of 1 following the same equation used to develop the HCT-CI. The augmented HCT-CI/biomarker index had higher c-statistic estimate (0.61) for prediction of NRM compared to the HCT-CI alone (0.58) in the validation set.
Ferritin, albumin, and Plt counts are simple and valid prognostic biomarkers for transplant outcomes and should be considered in combination with the HCT-CI in risk assessment prior to allogeneic HCT. The physiology behind these associations warrants further investigation to identify areas of intervention that may improve outcomes.
. | FHCRC (N=1789) . | DF/GITMO (N=2128) . |
---|---|---|
. | N (%) . | N (%) . |
Donor | ||
Related | 900 (50) | 1062 (50) |
Unrelated | 889 (50) | 1053 (50) |
Disease risk | ||
Low | 740 (41) | 866 (43) |
High | 1049 (59) | 1157 (57) |
Age | ||
< 50 | 1025 (57) | 1120 (53) |
≥ 50 | 764 (43) | 1008 (47) |
Conditioning | ||
MA | 983 (55) | 1100 (52) |
RIC/NMA | 806 (45) | 1004 (48) |
Pt CMV | ||
- | 773 (43) | 505 (24) |
+ | 1016 (57) | 1581 (76) |
KPS | ||
≤ 90 | 691 (39) | 644 (33) |
90-100 | 1098 (61) | 1304 (67) |
. | FHCRC (N=1789) . | DF/GITMO (N=2128) . |
---|---|---|
. | N (%) . | N (%) . |
Donor | ||
Related | 900 (50) | 1062 (50) |
Unrelated | 889 (50) | 1053 (50) |
Disease risk | ||
Low | 740 (41) | 866 (43) |
High | 1049 (59) | 1157 (57) |
Age | ||
< 50 | 1025 (57) | 1120 (53) |
≥ 50 | 764 (43) | 1008 (47) |
Conditioning | ||
MA | 983 (55) | 1100 (52) |
RIC/NMA | 806 (45) | 1004 (48) |
Pt CMV | ||
- | 773 (43) | 505 (24) |
+ | 1016 (57) | 1581 (76) |
KPS | ||
≤ 90 | 691 (39) | 644 (33) |
90-100 | 1098 (61) | 1304 (67) |
. | . | NRM . | Survival . | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marker | HR1 | P1 | HR1 | P1 | |
FHCRC | |||||
Albumin | ≥3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
<3.5 - 3.0 | 1.44 | 0.002 | 1.45 | <0.0001 | |
<3.0 | 1.77 | <0.0001 | 1.77 | <0.0001 | |
Unk | 1.15 | 0.38 | 1.19 | 0.11 | |
Plts | ≥100K | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
<100K – 50K | 1.48 | 0.0007 | 1.28 | 0.003 | |
<50K – 20K | 1.49 | 0.003 | 1.37 | 0.001 | |
<20K | 1.64 | 0.005 | 1.58 | 0.0004 | |
Unk | 0.66 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.14 | |
Ferritin | ≤1000 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
>1000 - 2500 | 1.60 | 0.03 | 1.70 | 0.0006 | |
>2500 | 2.08 | 0.001 | 1.63 | 0.007 | |
Unk | 1.42 | 0.03 | 1.44 | 0.002 | |
HCT-CI | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
1 | 1.29 | 0.12 | 1.31 | 0.02 | |
2 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 1.42 | 0.001 | |
3 | 2.29 | <0.0001 | 2.04 | <0.0001 | |
≥ 4 | 2.94 | <0.0001 | 2.42 | <0.0001 | |
DF/GITMO | |||||
Albumin | ≥3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
<3.5 - 3.0 | 1.60 | 0.0001 | 1.36 | 0.0005 | |
<3.0 | 2.77 | <0.0001 | 2.18 | <0.0001 | |
Unk | 1.61 | 0.01 | 1.11 | 0.49 | |
Plts | ≥100K | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
<100K – 50K | 1.08 | 0.56 | 1.02 | 0.85 | |
<50K – 20K | 1.17 | 0.28 | 1.21 | 0.06 | |
<20K | 1.38 | 0.04 | 1.35 | 0.009 | |
Unk | 0.64 | 0.10 | 0.82 | 0.28 | |
Ferritin | ≤1000 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
>1000 - 2500 | 1.11 | 0.43 | 1.23 | 0.02 | |
>2500 | 1.60 | 0.002 | 1.69 | <0.0001 | |
Unk | 1.13 | 0.33 | 1.12 | 0.19 | |
HCT-CI | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
1 | 1.31 | 0.05 | 1.14 | 0.19 | |
2 | 1.29 | 0.10 | 1.25 | 0.04 | |
3 | 1.48 | 0.006 | 1.46 | 0.0001 | |
≥ 4 | 1.74 | <0.0001 | 1.66 | <0.0001 |
. | . | NRM . | Survival . | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marker | HR1 | P1 | HR1 | P1 | |
FHCRC | |||||
Albumin | ≥3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
<3.5 - 3.0 | 1.44 | 0.002 | 1.45 | <0.0001 | |
<3.0 | 1.77 | <0.0001 | 1.77 | <0.0001 | |
Unk | 1.15 | 0.38 | 1.19 | 0.11 | |
Plts | ≥100K | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
<100K – 50K | 1.48 | 0.0007 | 1.28 | 0.003 | |
<50K – 20K | 1.49 | 0.003 | 1.37 | 0.001 | |
<20K | 1.64 | 0.005 | 1.58 | 0.0004 | |
Unk | 0.66 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.14 | |
Ferritin | ≤1000 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
>1000 - 2500 | 1.60 | 0.03 | 1.70 | 0.0006 | |
>2500 | 2.08 | 0.001 | 1.63 | 0.007 | |
Unk | 1.42 | 0.03 | 1.44 | 0.002 | |
HCT-CI | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
1 | 1.29 | 0.12 | 1.31 | 0.02 | |
2 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 1.42 | 0.001 | |
3 | 2.29 | <0.0001 | 2.04 | <0.0001 | |
≥ 4 | 2.94 | <0.0001 | 2.42 | <0.0001 | |
DF/GITMO | |||||
Albumin | ≥3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
<3.5 - 3.0 | 1.60 | 0.0001 | 1.36 | 0.0005 | |
<3.0 | 2.77 | <0.0001 | 2.18 | <0.0001 | |
Unk | 1.61 | 0.01 | 1.11 | 0.49 | |
Plts | ≥100K | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
<100K – 50K | 1.08 | 0.56 | 1.02 | 0.85 | |
<50K – 20K | 1.17 | 0.28 | 1.21 | 0.06 | |
<20K | 1.38 | 0.04 | 1.35 | 0.009 | |
Unk | 0.64 | 0.10 | 0.82 | 0.28 | |
Ferritin | ≤1000 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
>1000 - 2500 | 1.11 | 0.43 | 1.23 | 0.02 | |
>2500 | 1.60 | 0.002 | 1.69 | <0.0001 | |
Unk | 1.13 | 0.33 | 1.12 | 0.19 | |
HCT-CI | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||
1 | 1.31 | 0.05 | 1.14 | 0.19 | |
2 | 1.29 | 0.10 | 1.25 | 0.04 | |
3 | 1.48 | 0.006 | 1.46 | 0.0001 | |
≥ 4 | 1.74 | <0.0001 | 1.66 | <0.0001 |
Adjusted for donor , CMV serostatus , regimen intensity , age , disease risk , KPS ; stratified on institution.
Unk=Unknown
No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.
Author notes
Asterisk with author names denotes non-ASH members.
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